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Bất động sản Hà Nội HCM “hai thái cực”

Theo công bố mới nhất về thị trường nhà đất bất động sản năm 2017, CBRE ghi nhận có sự chuyển biến tương đối lớn lượng bán căn hộ và giá nhà ở tại TP.Hồ Chí Minh và TP.HN, giá nhà đang giảm ở TP.HN do nguồn cung lớn, trong khi đó giá nhà đất TP.HCM lại đang tăng mạnh.

Cụ thể, nhờ có lượng vốn góp vốn đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài (3,05 tỷ USD) lớn và vốn đầu tư trong dân trở về với nhiều dự án BĐS căn hộ chung cư thay vì các dự án nghỉ dưỡng, sinh thái xanh ven bờ biển nên lượng cung căn hộ cho dân cư trong thời gian 2017 đã tiếp tục tăng trở lại so với 2014.

Sau thời gian thiếu hụt nguồn cung, hiện nay nguồn cung căn hộ tại Hà Nội đã cao hơn TP.HCM và giá nhà đang có xu hướng hạ nhiệt.
bất động sản tại hai thành phố lớn
việc giá nhà giảm là cơ hội tìm mua nhà dưới 1 tỷ hà nội dành cho nhiều người trẻ.

Nguồn cung ảnh hưởng đến mặt bằng giá tại hai thành phố lớn

Sau thời gian thiếu hụt nguồn cung cấp, Hiện nay nguồn cung chung cư tại Thành Phố Hà Nội đã cao hơn TP.Hồ Chí Minh và giá nhà đang xuất hiện xu hướng hạ nhiệt.

Tại Thành Phố Hà Nội, tổng lượng căn hộ chung cư cao cấp bán ra đạt 35.000 căn, tăng 16% so với cùng thời điểm năm ngoái. Đó cũng là mức mở bán mới cao nhất trong khoảng 5 năm quay trở về đây.

Riêng tại TP. Hồ Chí Minh, tổng lượng căn bán được trong năm 2017 đạt 32.905 căn, lượng tiêu thụ bình quân của các dự án Bất Động Sản mới rao bán đạt 75%.

phân khúc thị phần trung cấp và trung lưu tiếp tục chiếm lĩnh thị phần với tổng số 80% nguồn cung mới trong thời hạn 2017. Doanh thu rao bán cũng ở mức khả quan với hơn 23.000 giao dịch thành công trong năm 2017, tăng 12% so với năm 2016

Một điểm đáng lưu ý là 1 số ít dự án Bất Động Sản dù không nằm ở đắc địa nhưng được góp vốn đầu tư đúng mức về phát triển mẫu sản phẩm, cải thiện thiết kế cũng như cung ứng đầy đủ tiện nghi tiện ích cho dân cư có được tỷ lệ bán được (trên 70% trong quý đầu mở bán). Điều này cũng đã cho chúng ta thấy phần nào người mua càng ngày càng chú tâm quan trọng hơn và đòi hỏi cao hơn về chất lượng dòng sản phẩm.

Tại TP. HCM, nơi số lượng giao dịch nhà ở thời điểm qua đang chững lại với lượng cung lớn hơn rất nhiều, năm 2017 cũng luôn có gần 33.000 căn hộ chung cư được bán ra, giảm 5% khi đối chiếu với cùng kỳ năm trước. Tuy vậy, đó cũng là cung thời gian đầu tiên trong vòng 5 năm qua số căn bán tốt nhiều hơn tổng cộng căn mới chào bán trong những năm.

Về mức giá, CBRE cho biết thêm, trong thời điểm 2017 mức giá hai thị phần BĐS lớn nhất Việt Nam là Thành Phố Hà Nội có diễn biến đối lập. Tại TP. Hà Nội, mức định giá sơ cấp (bán liên đới từ nhà đầu tư cho người tiêu dùng nhà) đạt 1.344 USD/m2 (30,6 triệu đồng), giảm 2,4% khi đối chiếu với năm trước; trong lúc đó giá nhà ở TP HCM bán sơ cấp đạt khoảng 1.558 USD/m2 (trrên 35 triệu đồng), tăng 4% so với 2014.

Theo giải thích của CBRE, việc giá cả nhà đất TP. Hồ Chí Minh cao hơn khi đối chiếu với TP. Hà Nội là do số căn hộ cao cấp trung cấp và thượng hạng được bán ra nhiều hơn, lượng nhà giá tốt đã ít hơn trước kia, khớp ứng với lượng cung bất động sản ra ngoài thị phần của TP. HCM đang ít hơn TP.Hà Nội.

Nguồn cung nhà ở chung cư ở Hà Nội trong năm 2017 đang tăng mạnh phân khúc trung cấp so với năm trước (Báo cáo của CBRE)
nguồn cung cấp nhà ở chung cư ở Hà Nội trong thời gian 2017 đang tăng mạnh phân khúc thị trường trung cấp so với năm trước (Báo cáo của CBRE)

Còn tại TP Hà Nội, sở dĩ giá nhà đất rẻ hơn TP.Hồ Chí Minh sau khá nhiều năm đắt đỏ là do thành Phố đang sẵn có rất nhiều dự án tầm trung được bán ra, cùng theo đó số lượng căn hộ chung cư, căn hộ cao cấp bán ra trong thời gian cũng nhiều hơn so với TP.Hồ Chí Minh khiến giá thành thị trường căn hộ chung cư hiện giờ đang bị kéo xuống thấp.

Ngoài đánh giá về khuynh hướng căn hộ cao cấp, CBRE cũng nhìn nhận và đánh giá triển vọng thị trường chung cư gắn liền với đất tại TP.HN, nơi có lượng cung rất lớn do việc giải phóng và mở rộng Thành Phố Hà Nội. Cả năm 2017, thị trường TP. Hà Nội ghi nhận tổng cộng 4.178 tổng số căn biệt thự, liền kề và nhà mặt phố chính thức mở bán.

Xung quanh vị trí phía tây và phía nam là khu vực có nguồn cung mới nhiều nhất, chiếm 72% tổng nguồn cung mới toàn thị phần tính đến thời điểm này. Mức giá sơ cấp bình quân thị phần biệt thự nghỉ dưỡng cao cấp, nhà liền kề đạt 3.600 USD/m2 (82 triệu đồng/m2).

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